Mumbai: A lifeline to India’s realty landscape, the whipped appetite of private equity funds is changing the dynamics of the sector. Titled “Decoding PE funds in Indian realty 2017” the latest report by Knight Frank India dissects the emerging trends in capital movements by private equity players.
Private equity investment in 2017 is estimated to exceed USD 4 bn this year, well past the 2015 mark – highest since 2010. It is pertinent to note that one major deal alone accounted for USD 1.8 bn
Private equity investments into Indian real estate had almost stagnated between 2011 and 2014. However, with the new government assuming office in 2014 and the subsequent roll out of a battery of reforms, there has been a paradigm shift in investors’ interest. From an average investment of USD 2.1 bn in 2011-14, capital flows rose by 57% to an average of USD 3.3 bn between 2015 and mid-September 2017
In 2017 the number of deals dwindled to 13, just over one-fourth of the tally in 2010. However, the average investments per deal increased 10-folds to USD 246 mn per deal
Bulk of the investments in 2016-17 went into preleased properties. Investments into development sites saw a sharp drop courtesy the low risk appetite among investors. Asset class-wise break-up
The share of private equity investments into residential projects nearly halved from 50% in 2011 to 28% in 2016 and further dropped to a meagre 4% in 2017
The office market that accounted for 29% of PE funds in 2011 today stands at almost two- third (66%) of the investments into in the Indian real estate
From a negligible number in 2011, PE investments in retail climbed to 19% in 2016 and sustained at 14% in 2017
The share of warehousing in total investments nearly doubled from 9% in 2011 to 16% in
2017 Origin and destination of funds
Majority of private equity investors in 2017 are domestic investors followed by investors from the US and Canada
Singapore had the highest investment per deal on account of a single big ticket GIC-DLF deal
of USD 1,800 mn
Changing investor’s profile
More than 80% of the PE capital contributors in 2017 were long-term sovereign and pension funds
Pure private equity funds and real estate funds continue to show trust in residential assets City-wise break-up
Gurugram attracted 56.4% of total investments in real estate due to one major GIC-DLF deal of USD 1,800 mn followed by Mumbai (39.8%)
Speaking about the findings, Dr. Samantak Das, Chief Economist and National Director- Research, Knight Frank India, said, “The dominance of institutional funds in the private equity investments’ pie reflects long-term confidence in India’s strong economic fundamentals.
In line with the change in the investors’ profile we have observed a dramatic shift in capital movement from the residential sector to pre-leased office and retail assets.
However, we believe that investors would revisit the residential
sector on the back of the reforms-driven new order with focus towards affordable housing projects.” According to Rajeev Bairathi, Executive Director & Head – Capital Markets, Knight Frank India,
“The bias of large Institutional investors to acquire high ticket and marquee leased out office and shopping Centre assets at aggressive valuations indicates that they expect the current leasing demand for such assets across both categories to remain buoyant in the foreseeable future thereby putting upward bias on the lease rentals and the asset valuations in near future.
Also, the exit barrier and therefore the liquidity risk perception in such assets is much lesser given that the creation of public markets in the form of REITS is just round the corner.
In Residential sector, however, the private equity investors would continue to remain cautious with a majority of them waiting out for current consolidation cycle, driven by both the market and regulatory forces, to run its full course before they re-enter into that space.”